Championship 1 Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-2
Dergview FC vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 1
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DER
2 - 2
ARD
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
KNO
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
DER
0 - 2
HAR
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 1
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 2
LIS
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
COA
3 - 3
ARC
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 4
ARC
24%
24%
53%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 0
WAR
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |