Derby County U23 vs Leicester U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MUN
5 - 2
DER
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 2
EVE
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 5
MCI
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
ARS
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 0
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 0
MCI
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 2
LEI
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
WHU
1 - 2
LEI
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
LEI
2 - 1
BHA
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |