Derby County U23 vs Leicester U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
4 - 1
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
LIV
33%
23%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MCI
3 - 3
DER
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DER
1 - 4
BHA
34%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
39%
24%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
BLA
4 - 0
LEI
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
3 - 0
LEI
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 2
LEI
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 3
LEI
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
LEI
3 - 2
TOT
56%
22%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |