Derby County U23 vs Crystal Palace U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 0
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 0
DER
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
TOT
3 - 1
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
DER
3 - 1
WHU
33%
23%
45%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BHA
2 - 1
CPA
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CPA
4 - 3
TOT
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
WHU
1 - 0
CPA
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MCI
4 - 2
CPA
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 6
CPA
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |