Derby County U23 vs Brighton & Hove U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MCI
3 - 2
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
LEI
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
DER
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 1
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 2
BHA
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
BHA
2 - 1
WHU
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
BHA
5 - 0
MCI
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
TOT
1 - 1
BHA
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
ARS
1 - 1
BHA
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |