Derby County U23 vs Blackburn Rovers U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
BHA
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
TOT
1 - 2
DER
49%
23%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
DER
3 - 2
WHU
37%
23%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
DER
3 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 2
BLA
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
BLA
2 - 3
TOT
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 1
EVE
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
BHA
1 - 2
BLA
50%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 6
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -2 |