Derby County U23 vs Arsenal U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
TOT
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 4
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
WHU
0 - 0
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
CHE
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 3
BLA
32%
24%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 2
ARS
37%
23%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARS
50%
22%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
MCI
31%
24%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |