Derby County U21 vs Stoke City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
10º
11º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 0
DCO
87%
10%
4%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 1
DCO
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
DCO
0 - 3
NOR
7%
15%
78%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
NOT
7 - 2
DCO
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 0
DCO
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SUN
4 - 1
STC
69%
17%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
STC
2 - 2
NWC
28%
21%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
MID
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
1 - 0
STC
76%
16%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
STC
0 - 0
SLR
6%
14%
81%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | +1 |