Derby County U18 vs Sunderland U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WOL
1 - 1
DER
15%
18%
67%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 2
DER
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DER
4 - 1
EVE
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DER
1 - 3
NEW
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MID
0 - 2
DER
31%
21%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SUN
0 - 4
MAN
5%
12%
83%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
2 - 7
EVE
6%
12%
83%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
STO
5 - 0
SUN
91%
7%
3%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LIV
4 - 0
SUN
90%
8%
3%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |