Derby County U18 vs Sunderland U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
EVE
4 - 2
DER
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
WBA
1 - 5
DER
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DER
2 - 0
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 8
DER
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
DER
3 - 2
MID
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 7
MAN
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 3
BLA
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MID
1 - 1
SUN
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 1
MCI
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
WBA
1 - 2
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |