Derby County Sub 18 vs Stoke City Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
MAN
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
DER
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 6
MCI
13%
18%
68%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 0
DER
14%
18%
69%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Stoke City Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
STO
1 - 3
BUR
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LEE
0 - 2
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
STO
0 - 0
NOT
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
4 - 2
STO
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |