Derby County U18 vs Stoke City U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DER
0 - 4
MAN
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
WOL
3 - 0
DER
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
DER
4 - 3
NEW
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MID
2 - 3
DER
33%
22%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DER
2 - 0
SUN
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
STO
2 - 0
WOL
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
4 - 0
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LIV
5 - 0
STO
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STO
1 - 3
BUR
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |