Derby County U18 vs Stoke City U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 8
DER
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
DER
3 - 2
MID
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 2
DER
73%
15%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DER
2 - 1
BLA
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
EVE
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STO
4 - 0
WOL
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 0
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STO
1 - 2
LIV
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 1
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MID
2 - 0
STO
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |