Derby County U18 vs Stoke City U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 4
DER
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DER
2 - 2
WBA
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MID
1 - 2
DER
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DER
0 - 2
EVE
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 0
DER
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MCI
5 - 2
STO
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
EVE
2 - 0
STO
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
STO
1 - 5
LIV
17%
18%
66%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BLA
3 - 0
STO
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MID
2 - 2
STO
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |