Derby County U18 vs Nottingham Forest U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
4º
32
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BLA
4 - 1
DER
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DER
3 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
DER
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DER
2 - 2
MAN
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MCI
5 - 1
DER
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 4
NEW
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STO
5 - 3
NOT
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
NOT
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 2
MAN
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 0
NOT
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |