Derby County U18 vs Nottingham Forest U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
MAN
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
DER
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 6
MCI
13%
18%
68%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 3
NOT
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MCI
4 - 1
NOT
84%
10%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 2
MAN
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 0
NOT
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
STO
0 - 0
NOT
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |