Derby County Sub 18 vs Newcastle Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
6º
22
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 2
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DER
4 - 2
LEE
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 3
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DER
1 - 1
MAN
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DER
3 - 3
EVE
26%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
BLA
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 6
NEW
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
NEW
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
6 - 4
LEE
31%
22%
48%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 0
NEW
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |