Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 6
DER
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
DER
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DER
6 - 2
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 3
DER
27%
21%
53%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
LIV
63%
18%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MID
0 - 4
MAN
6%
14%
80%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 0
MID
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 3
WOL
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 3
MID
51%
20%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
MID
53%
21%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |