Derby County U18 vs Man. City U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
68.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 0
DER
14%
18%
69%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 3
DER
75%
14%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DER
0 - 3
NEW
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 6
BLA
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MID
0 - 3
DER
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Man. City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MCI
2 - 0
MID
77%
13%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 1
MCI
9%
16%
74%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 1
MCI
13%
19%
67%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 1
FUL
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |