Derby County U18 vs Liverpool U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
LIV
57%
19%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 1
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LEE
5 - 0
DER
33%
21%
46%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DER
2 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DER
6 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
LIV
57%
19%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 4
WOL
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 2
LIV
35%
20%
44%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 3
LIV
33%
20%
47%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EVE
2 - 2
LIV
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |