Derby County U18 vs Liverpool U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
63.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
6º
31
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DER
0 - 1
SUN
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MID
1 - 0
DER
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 2
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LIV
4 - 0
LEE
73%
15%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
LIV
28%
20%
52%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 0
WOL
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SUN
5 - 2
LIV
47%
21%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
LIV
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |