Derby County U18 vs Liverpool U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
49.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 1
DER
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
NEW
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EVE
6 - 1
DER
68%
16%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DER
3 - 2
MID
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WBA
2 - 1
DER
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WBA
1 - 2
LIV
23%
20%
57%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
LIV
38%
21%
41%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 4
EVE
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MID
2 - 1
LIV
42%
21%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LIV
3 - 1
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |