Derby County U18 vs Leeds United U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
6º
20
5º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 3
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DER
1 - 1
MAN
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DER
3 - 3
EVE
26%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 1
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STO
2 - 4
DER
60%
20%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEE
0 - 2
BLA
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 0
LEE
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
6 - 4
LEE
31%
22%
48%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LEE
0 - 3
MCI
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
1 - 1
EVE
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |