Derby County U18 vs Burnley U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
WOL
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 0
DER
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MCI
7 - 1
DER
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
SUN
58%
20%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
DER
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 3
MCI
10%
17%
74%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
WOL
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
BUR
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 2
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |