Derby County vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
ARS
2 - 0
DER
45%
29%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
DER
1 - 0
COV
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
DER
4 - 1
SHE
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
WOL
4 - 0
DER
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1974 |
WOL
1 - 0
LEI
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
WOL
1 - 1
COV
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
WOL
3 - 1
ARS
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
WHU
0 - 0
WOL
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
WOL
4 - 0
DER
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |