Derby County vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1952 |
DER
2 - 3
MUD
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1952 |
DER
3 - 2
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1952 |
DER
0 - 1
ASV
52%
21%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1952 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1952 |
WOL
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1952 |
WOL
1 - 1
ARS
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1952 |
CHA
2 - 2
WOL
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1952 |
WOL
3 - 1
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |