Derby County vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
ASV
4 - 1
DER
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1951 |
WOL
1 - 2
DER
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1951 |
DER
3 - 4
SUN
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1951 |
CHA
1 - 2
DER
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
DER
0 - 1
EVE
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
WOL
2 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1951 |
WOL
1 - 2
DER
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1951 |
MAC
0 - 0
WOL
38%
24%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1951 |
SUN
0 - 0
WOL
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1951 |
WOL
0 - 1
NEW
61%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |