Derby County vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
DER
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
LIV
3 - 1
DER
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
DER
3 - 2
SUN
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
DER
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
OPA
1 - 1
WOL
50%
22%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
WOL
7 - 1
HUR
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 2
WOL
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 1
WOL
25%
24%
50%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
WOL
3 - 1
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |