Derby County vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
ASV
0 - 2
DER
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
DER
3 - 2
MID
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1935 |
DER
2 - 1
BRE
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
HUR
1 - 1
DER
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1935 |
DER
2 - 0
PNE
72%
16%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
WOL
3 - 2
BRE
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
PNE
2 - 0
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1935 |
MID
4 - 2
WOL
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1935 |
WOL
2 - 0
OPA
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1935 |
HUR
3 - 0
WOL
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |