Derby County vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
TOT
1 - 0
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
COV
0 - 2
DER
41%
28%
31%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
JUV
3 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ARS
0 - 1
DER
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
SHE
3 - 1
DER
40%
28%
31%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1973 |
WHU
4 - 3
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
WHU
1 - 1
LEE
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
NEW
1 - 2
WHU
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
WHU
2 - 0
EVE
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
CRY
1 - 3
WHU
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |