Derby County vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
NTT
2 - 4
DER
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1970 |
DER
2 - 0
BPO
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 1
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
DER
0 - 0
LIV
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 0
DER
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
WHU
1 - 2
COV
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1970 |
MAC
2 - 0
WHU
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
WHU
3 - 3
WOL
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
IPS
2 - 1
WHU
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
WHU
2 - 1
BPO
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |