Derby County vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
SHW
3 - 1
DER
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1931 |
DER
1 - 1
LEI
64%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1931 |
DER
2 - 1
BIR
65%
18%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1931 |
WBA
4 - 0
DER
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
MID
5 - 2
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
WHU
2 - 1
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1931 |
MAC
0 - 1
WHU
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1931 |
LIV
2 - 2
WHU
62%
19%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1931 |
WHU
1 - 4
LEI
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
ASV
5 - 2
WHU
81%
12%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |