Derby County vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
DER
4 - 2
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
DER
2 - 1
BOL
61%
19%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
DER
3 - 0
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
MUD
4 - 2
WHU
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
WHU
4 - 1
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
MID
2 - 0
WHU
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
SHE
4 - 2
WHU
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
WHU
2 - 3
BBU
58%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |