Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BOL
2 - 1
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
DER
0 - 2
COV
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
BIR
1 - 1
DER
57%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
DER
1 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
GAL
1 - 3
WBA
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
WBA
2 - 2
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
NTT
0 - 0
WBA
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
WBA
4 - 0
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
QPR
0 - 1
WBA
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |