Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1927 |
SUN
1 - 2
DER
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1927 |
DER
2 - 2
MUD
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
DER
4 - 4
HUR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1927 |
MUD
2 - 2
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
BBU
4 - 4
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1927 |
WBA
1 - 0
SHE
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1927 |
BBU
0 - 0
WBA
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1927 |
WBA
2 - 0
BBU
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
4 - 1
WBA
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
WBA
0 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |