Derby County vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
DER
2 - 2
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
MID
3 - 0
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
DER
1 - 3
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
ARS
2 - 0
DER
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
DER
1 - 2
CRY
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
TOT
3 - 1
BIR
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
WBA
2 - 1
TOT
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
TOT
0 - 0
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
BHA
0 - 2
TOT
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
MAC
1 - 1
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |