Derby County vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
DER
2 - 0
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1975 |
LEI
2 - 1
DER
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
DER
3 - 2
SHE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
QPR
1 - 1
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
BIR
2 - 1
DER
39%
27%
34%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
COV
2 - 2
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1975 |
TOT
1 - 3
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
MID
1 - 0
TOT
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
TOT
0 - 4
LIV
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1975 |
TOT
2 - 2
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |