Derby County vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
SUN
1 - 4
DER
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1934 |
DER
1 - 1
LEI
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1934 |
DER
0 - 2
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1934 |
DER
4 - 1
HUR
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
ASV
3 - 2
DER
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
TOT
0 - 2
ASV
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1934 |
CHL
1 - 3
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1934 |
TOT
3 - 1
WOL
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1934 |
PNE
1 - 0
TOT
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
HUR
0 - 0
TOT
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |