Derby County vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
SHW
3 - 3
DER
69%
18%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
BBU
0 - 1
DER
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
WBA
0 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
DER
1 - 2
WBA
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
DER
2 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
TOT
0 - 1
BBU
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
EVE
1 - 2
TOT
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
SHW
2 - 1
TOT
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
4 - 0
MAC
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 2
TOT
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |