Derby County vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
DER
2 - 1
WBA
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
DER
2 - 1
FUL
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1909 |
DER
4 - 0
GLO
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
GRI
2 - 0
DER
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
DER
5 - 0
GAI
69%
17%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
TOT
3 - 0
BRA
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
BUR
1 - 2
TOT
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
LEY
0 - 0
TOT
19%
22%
60%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
TOT
1 - 0
FUL
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
TOT
0 - 1
LEY
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |