Derby County vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1976 |
DER
2 - 1
BHA
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
QPR
1 - 1
DER
57%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
DER
2 - 3
AEK
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
DER
2 - 0
BRI
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1976 |
IPS
3 - 1
SUN
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 1
TOT
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
MUD
3 - 3
SUN
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 1
LIV
29%
31%
41%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
COV
1 - 2
SUN
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |