Derby County vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 1
DER
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
DER
3 - 3
GRI
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
ASV
2 - 0
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1931 |
DER
5 - 1
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
HUR
6 - 0
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
WHU
2 - 2
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
SUN
3 - 1
SHW
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
GRI
1 - 3
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 4
NEW
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
LEI
5 - 0
SUN
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |