Derby County vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
BBU
3 - 1
DER
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
DER
3 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 2
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
TOT
1 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1913 |
DER
2 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 2
SHE
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
MID
3 - 4
SUN
31%
26%
44%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 3
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 1
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |