Derby County vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
DER
1 - 3
WOL
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
ASV
4 - 1
DER
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1951 |
WOL
1 - 2
DER
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1951 |
DER
3 - 4
SUN
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1951 |
CHA
1 - 2
DER
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
WBA
1 - 0
STO
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
STO
1 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1951 |
STO
1 - 1
WBA
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1951 |
NEW
6 - 0
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1951 |
ASV
6 - 2
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |