Derby County vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
WBA
0 - 3
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1936 |
DER
0 - 4
ARS
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
FUL
3 - 0
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1936 |
BBU
0 - 0
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1936 |
DER
3 - 1
SHW
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
STO
2 - 3
ASV
47%
22%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 2
STO
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1936 |
STO
2 - 2
BRE
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1936 |
PNE
1 - 1
STO
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
BAR
2 - 1
STO
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |