Derby County vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
MID
3 - 0
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
DER
1 - 3
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
ARS
2 - 0
DER
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
DER
1 - 2
CRY
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1980 |
LEE
1 - 0
DER
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
SOU
5 - 1
BHA
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
TOT
0 - 0
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
LIV
1 - 1
SOU
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1980 |
SOU
0 - 1
ARS
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |