Derby County vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1971 |
COV
2 - 2
DER
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
LEI
0 - 2
DER
41%
29%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
DER
2 - 0
WHU
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1971 |
DER
2 - 2
MUD
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1971 |
DER
2 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1971 |
NTT
2 - 3
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
SOU
0 - 0
IPS
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1971 |
SOU
3 - 1
STO
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1971 |
SHE
3 - 1
SOU
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1971 |
SOU
6 - 0
CRY
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |