Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
DER
5 - 5
SCU
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
DER
0 - 0
SUN
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
DER
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 4
DER
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 4
SHW
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SHW
2 - 0
WYC
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
SHW
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SHW
2 - 1
CUM
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
SHW
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |