Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
MID
1 - 1
DER
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
DER
0 - 0
WIM
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
BBU
0 - 0
DER
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
DER
1 - 0
LIV
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 2
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
SHW
0 - 1
ASV
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
TOT
0 - 3
SHW
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SHW
0 - 1
WHU
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
CRY
1 - 0
SHW
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
SHW
1 - 3
ASV
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |