Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
DER
1 - 3
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1953 |
ARS
6 - 2
DER
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
DER
1 - 1
CHA
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
WOL
3 - 1
DER
67%
17%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1953 |
SHW
1 - 4
ARS
40%
23%
36%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
SHW
1 - 0
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1953 |
PNE
1 - 0
SHW
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
SHW
2 - 4
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1953 |
WOL
3 - 1
SHW
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |